Some Mozambican analysts believe that the terrorist groups in Cabo Delgado may be preparing a “counterattack” in the near future, this after the death of “senior executives” of the armed group, at the hands of the Mozambican Armed Forces.
For the academic Calton Cadeado, the terrorists may now be faced with two scenarios, either “waiting to retaliate immediately and show that he is alive” or “in silence for a long time preparing for revenge”. “All of this can happen if the Armed Forces relax in their offensive, but if they maintain permanent pressure, the possibility that insurgents will make a revenge attack, so soon, is very small because they will spend more time fleeing instead of preparing to attack. of revenge, ”he said in a statement to Notícias de Moçambique.
Also according to this investigator, the insurgents show some weakness, “because in situations like these, as with bin Laden, for example, the first thing the terrorists did was to publish a video making threats of retaliation and even mobilizing others . In Cabo Delgado two leaders of the group died and we did not see any action like this ”.
“This silence may mean that the insurgents are highly fragile and angry, but it can also be a sign that they do not have a mobilization plan to be able to take revenge as they would like to do for the death of these two of his companions”, concludes Calton Cadeado .
