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International interest puts tourism strategy to the test

The rise in international interest in Macau, measured through accommodation searches on the Agoda platform, is “a very encouraging signal” for the city’s tourism diversification strategy. Still, the data raises questions about its real impact on the sector’s recovery. “The key question is whether the increase in searches (…) translates into bookings,” warns Niall Murray

Fernando M. Ferreira

The digital travel platform Agoda has recorded a significant increase in accommodation searches for Macau, with strong growth from the Middle East (+247%), India (+70%), Japan (+62%) and several Southeast Asian markets. For Niall Murray, founder of the Murray International Group — a consultancy firm specialising in integrated resorts, tourism, hospitality and gaming — these figures confirm a trend the Government has been pursuing for years: the diversification of visitor source markets.

“The reported growth (…) suggests that the destination’s appeal is broadening beyond its traditional visitor segments,” he told PLATAFORMA, highlighting its alignment with the official strategy to reduce reliance on the “mainland China market”.

The data comes at a time when international tourism is showing signs of recovery. In the first quarter, the number of international hotel guests rose by 16% to 338,000, although mainland China continues to account for the largest share, with 2.74 million visitors. Still, Murray views the trend as positive for the sector’s resilience. “Reducing dependence on a single source strengthens (…) a more balanced and sustainable recovery,” he noted.

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However, Agoda’s data remains a preliminary indicator. “The key question is whether the increase in Agoda searches translates into bookings. If clicks convert into actual bookings, Macau will be well on its way to building a more robust and internationally competitive tourism sector. However, if appealing advertising does not convert, then it is a misallocation of investment,” Murray explained.

His analysis gains particular relevance in light of recent policies by the Macao Government Tourism Office, which has been investing in joint campaigns with platforms such as Agoda and targeting new segments, including travellers from Southeast Asia and the Middle East. For Murray, there are signs that these initiatives are having an effect — but without full validation.

Reducing dependence on a single source strengthens (…) a more balanced and sustainable recovery — Niall Murray, founder of the Murray International Group

“This may be a positive development, but it does not yet validate current strategies or clearly indicate where future investment and partnerships should be focused,” he said, stressing the need for more concrete data. “Conversion data is needed to assess effectiveness. This trend must be closely monitored.”

The consultant also pointed to structural constraints that may hinder conversion. “If potential visitors click on attractive ads but do not find flights, accommodation, attractions and entertainment suited to their preferences and budgets, conversion will not take place,” he told PLATAFORMA.

Read also: Macau smashes tourism records with 11 million visitors

Among the main challenges, he highlighted the need to improve direct air connectivity and expand mid-tier accommodation supply. “Macau Airport needs to significantly improve access to direct flights, and the market must substantially increase the availability of mid-range accommodation to boost international demand,” he concluded.

At a time when Macau is seeking to reposition itself as an international destination, Agoda’s data offers an encouraging signal — but, as Murray underlined, “this may be a positive development, but it does not yet validate current strategies or clearly indicate where future investment should be focused.”

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