On May 17, Cape Verde goes to the polls. The people will decide. The country is known for political alternation that has always been peaceful and exemplary — a democratic asset recognised around the world.
Polls are worth what they are worth. Still, it is understandable that after two terms there may be some natural political fatigue. The opposition expresses a strong desire for change. The incumbents seek to sustain a narrative of continuity, a task that appears increasingly difficult.
Five parties are contesting the election. Of the two major forces within the governing spectrum — PAICV and MPD — one will certainly form the next government. The other three, with smaller representation (UCID, PTS and PP), are expected to elect a few MPs, but without decisive influence over governance.
The question that interests me is another: what will the result of the ballot box mean for relations with China?
In my analysis, relations between Cape Verde and China over the past 50 years can be divided into four distinct phases. The first 15 years, from independence in 1975 until 1990 under PAICV rule, were marked by intense cooperation, with significant support in infrastructure, development, healthcare, training and poverty reduction.
This was followed by 10 years, from 1990 to 2000, after the change of regime and the arrival of MPD in power, characterised by political opening and multipartism, with fewer investments and a more restrained dynamic.
Then, for another 15 years, with the return of PAICV to power from 2001 to 2016, there was an encouraging revival: new infrastructure investments, renewed emphasis on training and stronger cooperation across several areas. Finally, over the past 10 years, with MPD in government, there has been a certain slowdown — a more cautious pace, one might say.
What is expected — and indeed hoped for — is a new dynamic from the government that emerges after May 17. If the current administration remains in power, continuity in the existing rhythm and policies can certainly be expected. If there is change, the new government may bring greater momentum and revitalisation to development cooperation, as well as possible alignment on some major global issues.
May this choice not be merely about alternation, but about ambition. May the next government, whatever its political colour, understand that global times demand partnerships that are alive, dynamic and intelligent. In the case of China — a cooperation relationship so important to Cape Verde, and an asset built over more than half a century — it deserves renewed energy, greater proximity and fresh perspectives.
